A Special Newsletter from the ENSP & Impact Unfiltered

The new rules of the game
November edition

Welcome back to Policy Unfiltered - a newsletter from ENSP and Impact Unfiltered, where we deliver analysis on EU tobacco control policy to support advocates across Europe.

 

The integrity of the Tobacco Tax Directive (TTD) process is under threat.

 

In this edition we uncover the flaws across multiple crucial areas: industry-flooded responses for the TTD public consultation, the FISC hearing's lack of balance, intense lobbying practices and positions taken at ECOFIN. Lastly, we provide the economic defense required to gain a footing in Europe's dominant language of competitiveness.

Exposed: 
How Big Tobacco may have flooded the TTD public consultation

From 3 September 2025, we analysed all 18,480 submissions to the TTD public consultation.

 

What we found:

  • 7,770 near-identical, copy-paste entries (42% of total) recycling scripts on "illicit trade" and "harm reduction"

  • ~6,000 replies use "reduced-risk/less harmful/safer alternatives" language

  • 2,500 explicitly mention "harm reduction"

  • 6,700 contain harm-reduction signals

Template text. Repeated claims across languages. This looks less like citizen input and more like coordinated astroturfing designed to bend the evidence base.

The contrast: Real public health organisations? Fewer than 80. That's 0.3% of all submissions.

 

Our exposé on the consultation flood was covered by POLITICO, detailing how the 'EU tobacco tax hike plan [was] ‘swamped with pro-industry feedback'.

The FISC public hearing
Amplifying one voice: the industry

The European Parliament's 20 November FISC subcommittee hearing on the TTD featured a disproportionate focus, resulting in the clear amplification of industry positions.

  • Low Political Attendance: Just 7 of the 30 committee members attended, with no representatives from S&D, Renew, or Green groups. Four of the attending MEPs had held tobacco industry meetings in recent weeks or months.

  • Skewed Participation: Industry representatives received 37 minutes of total speaking time versus 25 minutes for health experts.

  • Aligned Questioning: MEPs with recent industry contact posed questions that closely reflected industry submissions. For example:

    • Marco Falcone (EPP, Forza Italia), who had held five meetings with industry (including two on 5 November alone) asked questions that mirrored phrasing in Imperial Brands' submission.

    • Denis Nesci (ECR, Fratelli d'Italia) asked whether taxes threaten "EU industrial and agricultural protection," a concern echoed by Italian growers' and tobacco associations Filiera Italia and UNITAB.

  • Rapporteur Influence: The TTD rapporteur, Tomáš Kubín (Patriots, Czechia), held three recent meetings specifically on the directive with Philip Morris, Tobacco Europe, and the European Cigar Manufacturers Association.

  • FCTC Conflict: The hearing gave Tobacco Europe—the Brussels lobby arm of the industry—a prominent platform, and Prof. Francesco Moscone’s presentation closely tracked industry positions. This occurs despite the EU's legal requirement under WHO FCTC Article 5.3 to protect health policy from industry interference.

Today, POLITICO covered our in-depth analysis of the hearing, as well as the story on fake submissions in the names of Moldovan health professionals without their consent.

Uncovering the industry’s interference: Real-time intelligence

We’ve developed a tool to track meetings between the tobacco industry and Members of the European Parliament, providing real-time intelligence on lobbying activities.

 

Our findings are telling. 

Tobacco industry lobbying has exploded. Since the new Parliament took office (July 2024) the monthly average of MEP-tobacco industry meetings has surged by approximately 57% (rising from an average of 14.7 per month to 23 per month). 

 

Better declaration compliance or actual surge? Possibly both. What's certain: the industry shifted into high gear around the TTD vote.

The targeting is strategic: EPP leads with 34% of meetings, but Patriots for Europe punches above its weight at 17% - and holds the TTD rapporteur role.

 

Meet TTD rapporteur Tomáš Kubín (ANO 2011, Czech Republic), who has met the tobacco industry three times since March 2025:

  • 1 October 2025 on “TTD categorization discussion” with the European Cigar Manufacturers Association

  • 15 July 2025 on “TPD review meeting” with Tobacco Europe AISBL

  • 18 March 2025 on “Position explanation” with Philip Morris International.


How do we know: 

We track declared meetings using public European Parliament data and the EU Transparency Register. This captures only scheduled, public meetings, informal lobbying is invisible. So these figures are a floor, not a ceiling.

Request access to our real-time MEP-Tobacco Industry Meetings Monitor for the full dataset, summary and ongoing updates.
Lobbying success?
Divisions in the Council

Divisions among Member States regarding the TTD are visibly manifesting in the national positions taken at the ECOFIN Council level, threatening the unanimous approval required for the Directive's adoption.

On 10 October, EU Finance Ministers held the first formal TTD debate with three key takeaways:

  • Narrative prominence: Industry arguments like 'fiscal sovereignty' and 'illicit trade' are prominently featured in the debate, establishing key narratives for governments opposing the TTD.

  • Political opposition emerges: The positions of countries like Hungary, Romania, Sweden, and Italy are creating a meaningful risk to the required unanimity.

  • The ‘Harm Reduction’ shield: Sweden's opposition centres on demands for differential taxation for nicotine pouches, aligning with the industry's sustained ‘harm reduction’ messaging.

With industry lobbying in full swing and targeting the exact countries showing hesitation, advocates must engage now with finance ministers and tax attachés in these key Member States.
We have a complete overview of national positions and minister statements during the debate. Request here.
The strategic response: 
Making the economic case

Health arguments alone are often insufficient in EU policy debates. To counter industry lobbying, advocates must adopt the language of fiscal competitiveness and savings. Our analysis provides clear economic facts demonstrating that a stronger TTD is a win for the EU’s economy as a whole.

For example:

  • The proposal is projected to deliver around €6 billion in annual social-cost savings because it reduces the strain on healthcare systems and boosts workforce productivity.

  • The overall tax increase is estimated to lead to an increase in tax revenue of approximately €15 billion across the EU.

  • Tobacco taxes have been shown to not harm aggregate employment, as resources not spent on tobacco are spent on more labour-intensive products.

Request the TTD competitive analysis here.
Meanwhile in Geneva:
EU silence at COP11

At COP11 (the global WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control), we witnessed the EU's internal division manifest in real-time.

 

The result: silence where Europe should lead. While delegates successfully adopted key decisions on liability frameworks and environmental protections—issues directly relevant to the upcoming Tobacco Product Directive revision—the EU failed to speak as a cohesive bloc on new, forward-looking tobacco control measures.

 

Division is the industry's greatest asset.

About ENSP and Impact Unfiltered
ENSP is a network of public health professionals dedicated to advancing evidence-based policies and practical tools to combat the tobacco epidemic. It partners with Impact Unfiltered, a Brussels-based non-profit accelerating evidence-based EU tobacco and nicotine control policy which receives support and funding by the Contribute Foundation and the Nieuwe Waarde Foundation.

Cornel Radu-Loghin, Secretary General of ENSP, the Impact Unfiltered team with 

Laurent Huber, Executive Director of Action on Smoking and Health (ASH ) at JA-SAFE.
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